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Greetings!
Happy 4th of July week! We hope the summer will be sunny and that
you picked a good vacation week. See you on the beach.
| April was a cruel month for stock prices, but May
rebounded |
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The numbers through June 18th, show year-to-date declines
in the Dow and NASDAQ, with numbers down -.4% and -.8%
respectively. Growth was seen in the S&P 500 and Russell
2000, with those numbers coming in at 2.1% and 2.4%
respectively. Most clients have limited exposure to the
NASDAQ, which contributed to an above average total return for
the period. Remember you don't want to jump in and out of
investments, but you do want to consistently rebalance your
portfolio to capitalize of market activity.
Where do we go from here? The nations' economy is growing,
corporate earnings have been steadily climbing, bond markets
have braced for a rate hike, and we are in an election year.
The broad markets remain optimistic through the year's end. We
will always have international risks to concern ourselves with
and there is the looming concern about the stabilization of
oil prices. The automakers are reducing prices on SUV's, in
anticipation of an inventory glut due to rising fuel prices.
We have seen a pull back in the oil prices, but it's not clear
if this is a temporary measure.
As for our portfolios, we will continue to use Ginnie Maes
and TIPS as anchors to all large investment accounts. Less
exposure will be give to the REIT mutual funds and we will be
phasing out of financial mutual funds, but still have a core
emphasis on individual financial stocks such as Citigroup, JP
Morgan, and Bear Stearns. The IPO market as well as merger
& acquisition (M&A) activity should continue to have a
positive effect on the back half of the year, and individual
financial firms serve to benefit from this activity.
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| The top 25 Mutual Funds of 2003 - No-loads reign
supreme |
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In a recently released report analyzing the top 25
performing mutual funds for 2003, without consideration of
sector funds, the following results were reported - 21 out of
the top 25 mutual funds were no loads. That represents 84% of
the top performers. The odds of a commissioned broker selling
you a no load mutual fund are poor. In order to receive the
best, undiluted information it pays to hire an objective
fee-only advisor.
Also reported in the survey was stellar performance in the
mid-cap group. One of our favorite funds in the area is
Leuthold Core. Small caps also dominated the list, with double
the returns of their large cap counterparts. In this broad
category, the firm utilizes Royce Premier.
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| Save the Date |
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Don Phillips, Managing Director of Morningstar will be
speaking at a luncheon event this fall.
Friday, September 17th - 12:00 p.m. The Financial
Planning Association of Rhode Island will be hosting this
luncheon at Quidnesset Country Club. Topic: Mutual
Fund Industry Updates, followed by a Q & A session.
Tickets are $50, with limited availability. Please contact me
for more information at 401-727- 8151 or...
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| Your Planner in the News |
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Angela Thomson was recently quoted in the May 25th and the
June 1st editions of the Providence Journal. The first article
discussed municipal bonds and determining their fit within
your portfolio, as well as other investment alternatives. The
second interview covered the RI Estate Tax Laws and planning
methods to reduce estate taxable liability.
At Coastal Financial Planning, Inc. we are proud of the
recognition we receive from various media outlets. Our
objective, sound advice continues to attract writers seeking
reputable planners as a source of information. If you know of
anyone seeking a new advisor, please offer our name as a
referral. Thank you.
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Our question of the quarter is... |
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During the period from 1960 - 2001, which year produced
the steepest decline in investment returns, resulting in a 30%
loss?
a. 2001 b. 1999 c. 1975
d. 1974
Many lose track of the many ups and downs that have
occurred over time in the market. In 1974 the stock market
experienced a 30% decline in values. If you answered D, you
were correct. (Could you remember that far back or are you
just a really good guesser?)
Interestingly, the following year experienced a growth rate
of 40%, offsetting the previous year's declines. In 1999,
during the dot.com rally the total index grew by 30%, which
was then offset by a 20% percentage decline in 2001.
It's hard to think back to 1975 and imagine a rally driven
by non-tech stocks, but over time, a broad, diversified mix of
investments drives portfolio growth.
We experienced a soft March and April, and many were
concerned with the overall direction of the market. May turned
in positive results and June looks to end with a positive
number. It has been a frustrating market to call, but as
always it is important to stay the course, utilizing quality
stocks and managing assets with tax efficient vehicles to
maximize returns.
Remember the markets historically average 10% annually.
There will be many swings along the way, so don't be swayed by
the number of the day, week or month.
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