Coastal Financial Planning, Inc.
Second Quarter Newsletter Angela Thomson, CFP(r)
June 2004

Greetings!

Happy 4th of July week! We hope the summer will be sunny and that you picked a good vacation week. See you on the beach.

in this issue
  • Our question of the quarter is...
  • April was a cruel month for stock prices, but May rebounded
  • The top 25 Mutual Funds of 2003 - No-loads reign supreme
  • Save the Date
  • Your Planner in the News

  • April was a cruel month for stock prices, but May rebounded

    The numbers through June 18th, show year-to-date declines in the Dow and NASDAQ, with numbers down -.4% and -.8% respectively. Growth was seen in the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, with those numbers coming in at 2.1% and 2.4% respectively. Most clients have limited exposure to the NASDAQ, which contributed to an above average total return for the period. Remember you don't want to jump in and out of investments, but you do want to consistently rebalance your portfolio to capitalize of market activity.

    Where do we go from here? The nations' economy is growing, corporate earnings have been steadily climbing, bond markets have braced for a rate hike, and we are in an election year. The broad markets remain optimistic through the year's end. We will always have international risks to concern ourselves with and there is the looming concern about the stabilization of oil prices. The automakers are reducing prices on SUV's, in anticipation of an inventory glut due to rising fuel prices. We have seen a pull back in the oil prices, but it's not clear if this is a temporary measure.

    As for our portfolios, we will continue to use Ginnie Maes and TIPS as anchors to all large investment accounts. Less exposure will be give to the REIT mutual funds and we will be phasing out of financial mutual funds, but still have a core emphasis on individual financial stocks such as Citigroup, JP Morgan, and Bear Stearns. The IPO market as well as merger & acquisition (M&A) activity should continue to have a positive effect on the back half of the year, and individual financial firms serve to benefit from this activity.


    The top 25 Mutual Funds of 2003 - No-loads reign supreme

    In a recently released report analyzing the top 25 performing mutual funds for 2003, without consideration of sector funds, the following results were reported - 21 out of the top 25 mutual funds were no loads. That represents 84% of the top performers. The odds of a commissioned broker selling you a no load mutual fund are poor. In order to receive the best, undiluted information it pays to hire an objective fee-only advisor.

    Also reported in the survey was stellar performance in the mid-cap group. One of our favorite funds in the area is Leuthold Core. Small caps also dominated the list, with double the returns of their large cap counterparts. In this broad category, the firm utilizes Royce Premier.


    Save the Date

    Don Phillips, Managing Director of Morningstar will be speaking at a luncheon event this fall.

    Friday, September 17th - 12:00 p.m. The Financial Planning Association of Rhode Island will be hosting this luncheon at Quidnesset Country Club.
    Topic: Mutual Fund Industry Updates, followed by a Q & A session. Tickets are $50, with limited availability. Please contact me for more information at 401-727- 8151 or...


    Your Planner in the News

    Angela Thomson was recently quoted in the May 25th and the June 1st editions of the Providence Journal. The first article discussed municipal bonds and determining their fit within your portfolio, as well as other investment alternatives. The second interview covered the RI Estate Tax Laws and planning methods to reduce estate taxable liability.

    At Coastal Financial Planning, Inc. we are proud of the recognition we receive from various media outlets. Our objective, sound advice continues to attract writers seeking reputable planners as a source of information. If you know of anyone seeking a new advisor, please offer our name as a referral. Thank you.


    Our question of the quarter is...

    During the period from 1960 - 2001, which year produced the steepest decline in investment returns, resulting in a 30% loss?

    a. 2001
    b. 1999
    c. 1975
    d. 1974

    Many lose track of the many ups and downs that have occurred over time in the market. In 1974 the stock market experienced a 30% decline in values. If you answered D, you were correct. (Could you remember that far back or are you just a really good guesser?)

    Interestingly, the following year experienced a growth rate of 40%, offsetting the previous year's declines. In 1999, during the dot.com rally the total index grew by 30%, which was then offset by a 20% percentage decline in 2001.

    It's hard to think back to 1975 and imagine a rally driven by non-tech stocks, but over time, a broad, diversified mix of investments drives portfolio growth.

    We experienced a soft March and April, and many were concerned with the overall direction of the market. May turned in positive results and June looks to end with a positive number. It has been a frustrating market to call, but as always it is important to stay the course, utilizing quality stocks and managing assets with tax efficient vehicles to maximize returns.

    Remember the markets historically average 10% annually. There will be many swings along the way, so don't be swayed by the number of the day, week or month.

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